Ed. note: If you aren't a baseball fan, move along -- there's nothing to see here. If you read this you *will* think I'm even more of a geek than you already do.
Wow -- that crept up on me. Yankees-Sox on ESPN tonight, and just like that, the season is here. Over the weekend, the M's played the Cubs in Vegas. Excuse me -- Vegas, the Mariners, and the Final Four? Looks like I picked the wrong year to have a baby (and the wrong week to stop sniffing glue, but that's another story). Seriously though, that's all? Are you sure there wasn't a Cake and Miles Davis jam they could have thrown together down there?
What follows is a bunch of random notes about the forthcoming baseball season. These are probably more wishcasting than viable predictions.
Mariners
Jeremy Reed -- Pretty soft landing for a rookie. Hey kid, here's the starting CF job, and why don't you bat between Ichiro! and Beltre. Ichiro! is on base 40% of the time in front of him, and Beltre is mashing at a .629 SLG clip behind him. Not bad. I'll pencil him in for 305/365/420
Gil Meche -- The biggest question mark on this team could win 20 games or lose 20. Nothing I could write here would top this post. I think he's most likely to be the guy who drops off this staff, giving King Felix a chance. Which brings us to...
Felix Hernandez -- 50% Fernando Valenzuela, 50% Dwight Gooden, 0% Mariners farmhand (at least I hope). Everyone in Mariners nation is praying that the disease feasting on Mariner prospects' rotator cuffs skips him over. For my money, in spring training he looked pretty inconsistent and not quite ready (he is 18 after all). Still, he'll be the #1 on this team by next year. If he makes it up in '05, he will be the most exciting thing about the season.
Sexon/Beltre -- I'm going to go against the grain and say I like both of these signings. Richie's contract is pissing off the M's blogosphere, but I think it's a risk worth taking. I know the numbers don't back me up, so please just laugh and slowly step away from my half-full glass. Beltre -- obviously a *great* move. 26 year old home run champ for below market value? Nice.
Ichiro! -- He's Ichiro. We know what we'll get. I love this guy. Here's hoping that he chases Ted Williams (.400) or Joe Dimaggio (56) this year. That would liven things up at The Safe.
The Team -- I'll go 87 wins and a mediocre division championship. The Angels infield sucks, the A's pitchers are too young and the Rangers pitchers are even worse. It'll take a few pitchers stepping up for the M's but I'll go out on the limb and say they will. Why? Blind optimism.
AL
I've got the Red Sox, Indians and M's as the division winners, with the Yankees as the wild card. Just like everyone else, I'll say that it'll be Sox/Yankees and the Sox repeating. The Red Sox look even better on paper than last year.
NL
I could (or is it couldn't?) care less. The NL sucks. Every park is a bandbox, pitchers stats are inflated because of no DH, and I just don't see a team that is fun to root for. The Cubbies are ok I guess -- but Sosa and Garciaparra win my "Most Overexposed and Annoying Teammates Award (Non-Yankees division)". If I see Nomar tell Mia Hamm "you're beautiful" on that Nike commercial one more time, I might drink some Clorox just as a distraction.
Correction: Oh yeah, Sosa plays for the Orioles now. Ouch. I have been out of the loop for a while.